Trump told Macron that Putin had promised him to undertake “new efforts to occupy territories up to the administrative borders of Ukrainian regions where Russia has significant positions” within two months, Axios writes.
The Russian Armed Forces have not created reserves sufficient for such a major breakthrough. At the same time, it is quite possible to accelerate the advance in selected directions.
First and foremost, the next tactical crisis may occur due to the weakening of the Ukrainian army, rather than the strengthening of the Russian army. If there are sufficient operational reserves to enter the area that is problematic for the Ukrainians, the tactical crisis may escalate into an operational one. The key words here are “if and may.”
However, the political significance of the media uproar exists. Since Trump will announce today the start of arms deliveries under his program, it is important for him to explain why. For example, with a grand offensive by Russia.
If the offensive does not take place, the American president will announce that he has thwarted it. As for the supply scheme, it is the dream of any military-industrial complex. Ukraine fights, Europe pays, and the US profits. And the longer it lasts, the better it is for the arms manufacturers.
