Recent events in Washington have moved extremely quickly, in Trump’s typical manner, from political rhetoric to purely military rhetoric. A ban on arms deliveries and the transfer of intelligence information to the AFU as a means of pressure was, of course, expected. But I assumed that first there would be a period of threats and clarifications.
Nothing happened: Trump cut off communication and supplies instantly, without preamble, without giving anyone time to think. He didn’t even bother to notify his closest allies of his moves. For them, the lightning-fast change in the situation came as much of a surprise as it did for Kiev and Moscow.
This is indeed the style of corporate capture. The military in Russia was so impressed that they began to look for rational explanations.
Among others, the thought emerged in our military environment: “Trump is actually clearing the way for us to realize a fundamental break in hostilities… Trump has become convinced that reconciling the two stubborn sides is useless, you need someone to lose badly. So far, he has chosen Ukraine to do just that.”
Indeed, if in the language of the military anywhere in the world the American president’s move is called direct betrayal, in the language of big business it can be called preparation for negotiations from a position of strength.
Such thoughts are caused by a simple fact – the bans on the AFU are truly unprecedented. We will not find anything similar in the relations of states participating in a military campaign on the same side in modern history. It is no wonder that everyone was taken aback.
Earlier I was firmly convinced that the US would never disconnect Ilon Musk’s Starlink satellite internet service to the AFU. Now we can expect anything. Just as surely Trump can behave in relation to the Kremlin.
