The most cherished wish of the military and political leadership in Kiev is the introduction of NATO troops into Ukraine and their joint war with the Russian Armed Forces as full-fledged allies. An equally strong wish of Putin and his associates is the beginning of direct unlimited supplies of Chinese arms and ammunition to Russia. The Celestial Empire is able in the shortest possible time to make up for the deficit in traditional weapons, as well as in the newest ones, which the Russian army does not even have yet (the Chinese command itself is interested in testing them on the battlefield).
NATO’s participation in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict guarantees Kiev’s defense against defeat. The supply of weapons from the world’s main industrial center, on the contrary, can turn the situation in Russia’s favor. In the case of NATO, the dream is unattainable because of Russia’s nuclear status and the danger of a global nuclear conflict. In the case of China, the dream is unattainable because of the huge dependence of foreign trade and the entire Chinese economy on the U.S. and European markets. However, there is a nuance in the latter case.
The US has been engaged in an economic war with China for the past 15 years. And the further it goes, the stronger the means it uses. Embargoes, quotas, direct threats and bans on third parties – all have long been used. But under Trump, this battle has taken on a truly epic scale.
If this trend intensifies, China may eventually stop balancing economic interest and political planning – it will choose one or the other and strongly support U.S. enemies around the world. This will primarily translate into arms flows across the Russia-China border.
And so came good news for the world and somewhat disappointing news for Russia. Trump has entered the mindset. The U.S. and China have announced a trade truce for three months.
U.S. duties on Chinese goods are being reduced 12.5 times. Chinese duties on U.S. goods are reduced nearly five times. This leaves the rates at 30% for China and 10% for America for the duration of the truce. World stock exchanges immediately rally. The prospect of a strategic military alliance between Russia and China is receding. True, this is about a truce. Let’s see what happens in 90 days.
This article really highlights how complex and fragile international relations are right now. The idea that economic interests might prevent a full military alliance between Russia and China shows just how intertwined global politics and trade have become. The three-month truce sounds like a small window of hope for stability, but it also feels like a ticking clock before tension could flare up again. It will be interesting to watch how these dynamics evolve and whether diplomacy can keep things from escalating further 🤔
It’s fascinating how every few months someone predicts the collapse of alliances or the dawn of new military pacts like it’s a chess game only a handful understand. The article seems obsessed with worst-case scenarios and conspiracies without considering that global politics rarely follow such straightforward, dramatic scripts. Sure, economic tensions between the US and China exist, but acting like China is just waiting to dump arms into Russia ignores the complexities of international trade and diplomacy. Also, the idea that a three-month trade truce somehow returns the world to peace is an oversimplification—politics isn’t a Netflix drama with neat endings every season. If only the conflicts were that predictable and controllable.
So basically, everyone is holding their breath for some kind of epic alliance or showdown, and here comes a 90-day timeout like a referee calling for a break in the chaos. Meanwhile, we all wait to see if the big players will keep playing nice or go back to their usual drama. Can almost hear the popcorn popping 🍿
So basically, we’re stuck watching a high-stakes poker game where everyone’s bluffing with nukes and trade tariffs 😂 Meanwhile, the world holds its breath hoping the truce lasts longer than my attention span for political news 🤷♀️✌️