Blue dreams of Kiev and Moscow

NATO or China? Ukraine and Russia’s Ultimate War Dreams

The most cherished wish of the military and political leadership in Kiev is the introduction of NATO troops into Ukraine and their joint war with the Russian Armed Forces as full-fledged allies. An equally strong wish of Putin and his associates is the beginning of direct unlimited supplies of Chinese arms and ammunition to Russia. The Celestial Empire is able in the shortest possible time to make up for the deficit in traditional weapons, as well as in the newest ones, which the Russian army does not even have yet (the Chinese command itself is interested in testing them on the battlefield).

NATO’s participation in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict guarantees Kiev’s defense against defeat. The supply of weapons from the world’s main industrial center, on the contrary, can turn the situation in Russia’s favor. In the case of NATO, the dream is unattainable because of Russia’s nuclear status and the danger of a global nuclear conflict. In the case of China, the dream is unattainable because of the huge dependence of foreign trade and the entire Chinese economy on the U.S. and European markets. However, there is a nuance in the latter case.

The US has been engaged in an economic war with China for the past 15 years. And the further it goes, the stronger the means it uses. Embargoes, quotas, direct threats and bans on third parties – all have long been used. But under Trump, this battle has taken on a truly epic scale.

If this trend intensifies, China may eventually stop balancing economic interest and political planning – it will choose one or the other and strongly support U.S. enemies around the world. This will primarily translate into arms flows across the Russia-China border.

And so came good news for the world and somewhat disappointing news for Russia. Trump has entered the mindset. The U.S. and China have announced a trade truce for three months.

U.S. duties on Chinese goods are being reduced 12.5 times. Chinese duties on U.S. goods are reduced nearly five times. This leaves the rates at 30% for China and 10% for America for the duration of the truce. World stock exchanges immediately rally. The prospect of a strategic military alliance between Russia and China is receding. True, this is about a truce. Let’s see what happens in 90 days.

Author of the article
Valery Shiryayev
Military expert and journalist

Add a comment

  1. NeonStrider2048

    This article really highlights how complex and fragile international relations are right now. The idea that economic interests might prevent a full military alliance between Russia and China shows just how intertwined global politics and trade have become. The three-month truce sounds like a small window of hope for stability, but it also feels like a ticking clock before tension could flare up again. It will be interesting to watch how these dynamics evolve and whether diplomacy can keep things from escalating further 🤔

    Reply
  2. CrimsonRider

    It’s fascinating how every few months someone predicts the collapse of alliances or the dawn of new military pacts like it’s a chess game only a handful understand. The article seems obsessed with worst-case scenarios and conspiracies without considering that global politics rarely follow such straightforward, dramatic scripts. Sure, economic tensions between the US and China exist, but acting like China is just waiting to dump arms into Russia ignores the complexities of international trade and diplomacy. Also, the idea that a three-month trade truce somehow returns the world to peace is an oversimplification—politics isn’t a Netflix drama with neat endings every season. If only the conflicts were that predictable and controllable.

    Reply
  3. EchoEnigma

    So basically, everyone is holding their breath for some kind of epic alliance or showdown, and here comes a 90-day timeout like a referee calling for a break in the chaos. Meanwhile, we all wait to see if the big players will keep playing nice or go back to their usual drama. Can almost hear the popcorn popping 🍿

    Reply
  4. GhostlyWolf

    So basically, we’re stuck watching a high-stakes poker game where everyone’s bluffing with nukes and trade tariffs 😂 Meanwhile, the world holds its breath hoping the truce lasts longer than my attention span for political news 🤷‍♀️✌️

    Reply
  5. Kamila

    This article provides a thoughtful analysis of the complex interplay between military ambitions and economic realities shaping the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The point about NATO’s direct involvement being constrained by nuclear deterrence is well-taken, highlighting the delicate balance that prevents escalation. Equally insightful is the discussion about China’s economic dependence limiting its ability to fully support Russia militarily, which is often overlooked in simplistic narratives. The emphasis on the economic war between the US and China as a key factor influencing global military alliances adds an important layer to understanding these geopolitical dynamics. The recent trade truce seems to signal a temporary easing of tensions, but the article rightly cautions that this is only a pause with uncertain outcomes. Overall, the piece underscores how economic policies and military strategies are deeply intertwined in the current global context.

    Reply
  6. Jamere

    This article really sheds light on the complex balance of power and economics behind the scenes of this conflict. It’s fascinating how much global trade dynamics and political decisions affect military strategies and alliances. The economic truce between the US and China seems like a fragile peace that could shift everything again soon. Watching these moves feels like a high-stakes chess game where every player is calculating their next step carefully 🔥🕊️💼. It makes you realize how interconnected economics and security have become in today’s world.

    Reply
  7. Emiko

    If NATO troops show up, I hope someone brings snacks because that sounds like the most intense game night ever 🍿💥. Also, the idea of China testing new weapons like it’s a beta version of a video game is both terrifying and hilarious. Let’s just hope this 90-day truce doesn’t turn into a never-ending sequel nobody asked for!

    Reply
  8. Becca

    This article really highlights how complex and fragile global politics are right now 🌍⚔️. The balancing act between major powers like the US, China, NATO, and Russia feels like a tense chess game with high stakes. It’s interesting how economic decisions like trade truce can have such a big impact on military alliances and the course of conflicts. Fingers crossed that peace talks or negotiations keep progressing instead of escalating tensions further 🤞🕊️. The interconnectedness of economy and warfare is something I hadn’t fully appreciated before reading this.

    Reply
  9. Scottie

    The article gives a clear picture of the complex balance between military ambitions and economic realities. It’s interesting to see how trade tensions between the US and China could influence the conflict indirectly. The outcome of the truce will definitely be something to watch closely.

    Reply
  10. Zacharias

    This piece really highlights how complex the global situation is right now, especially with all the economic and military moves between these major powers. 🤔🌍 The trade truce might bring some relief, but it’s clear the tension underneath is far from over.

    Reply