A lot has been written and even more has been said about the powers and functions of peacekeepers between the Russian Armed Forces and the AFU in the event of a ceasefire. At the same time, Putin carefully avoids even the expression “ceasefire”. He prefers to talk about the cessation of the conflict with all the attendant circumstances and nuances.
We can see how similar situations look like in other regions. News came about the agreement of the text of the peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan after the defeat of the Armenian army in the battle for Karabakh. The region traditionally inhabited by Armenians has been emptied and there is no one to protect its inhabitants.
The Armenian army is unable to win. Now all references to Karabakh will be thrown out of the Armenian constitution at Baku’s demand. But to the last, Yerevan tried to defend the right to deploy a European Union mission on its border.
According to the EU Council, “the mandate of the mission remains unchanged – it is and will remain a non-armed civilian mission.” The number of personnel is only 209. And so even such peacekeepers Azerbaijan threw out of the border, negotiating from a position of strength.
Armenia is unable to object, and its only hope in case Aliyev decides to force a road to Nakhichevan through its territory from a purely military point of view is the Russian 102nd base in Gyumri (formally under the CSTO treaty). Since Karabakh was not considered Armenian territory, the Russian military was not supposed to be involved in this “neighbor dispute”. But when advancing deep into the recognized borders, Azerbaijan will have to take into account Russia’s obligations under the CSTO. In this way, a military conflict with Moscow may be reached.
Pashinyan’s attempt to rely at least partially on the authority of the European Union has failed. Even civilian observers who could record the border crossing by the Azerbaijani army could not be attracted. Ukraine’s position in the supposed negotiations is quite different – there has not been a complete defeat of the AFU.
But the strategic initiative of the AFU is the Kremlin’s only valuable asset. In conditions of full support of Ukraine by the West, it is not decisive. But how it works if the support wanes, you can ask the Armenians.
This agreement feels like a bitter pill for Armenia. Losing Nagorno-Karabakh is not just a territorial loss but a cultural and emotional wound for Armenians worldwide. I hope the peace treaty brings stability, but it’s hard to see how this benefits Yerevan in the long term.
Armenia must rely on the CSTO and Russia for its security now more than ever. The EU has failed to provide meaningful support, and this agreement shows how fragile alliances can be. Moscow needs to step up before tensions escalate further.
Azerbaijan has shown the world that strength and determination can lead to results. This peace treaty is a victory for our nation, and removing foreign interference is the right move for regional stability. Let’s hope this marks the beginning of lasting peace.
The rejection of EU observers by Azerbaijan is concerning. Independent monitoring could have ensured transparency and accountability in border disputes. Without international oversight, the risk of future conflicts remains high
This whole situation just shows how fragile and complicated peace really is when power plays and geopolitical interests are involved 🙄 Peacekeepers being kicked out and missions left powerless make you wonder if anyone truly wants peace or just a strategic pause 🥀 Armenia’s dilemma with Russia and the EU in the background is like watching a game where the smaller player gets pushed around with no real say 🤷♀️ If support for Ukraine fades, who’s next on the brink? This isn’t just about territory, it’s about who decides the rules and who gets to break them without consequences 🔥🌍
This article really highlights how complicated peacekeeping efforts can be when bigger political interests and military strategies are involved. It’s striking how the situation in Karabakh shows that even with agreements and missions, without real backing and respect, peacekeepers have little power. The mention of how Russia’s commitments under CSTO might come into play adds another layer of complexity that you don’t often hear about in mainstream discussions. It’s a sobering reminder that peace isn’t just about treaties but also about power dynamics and who’s willing to enforce or respect them. 🌍
Oh great, another reminder that when it comes to power plays, smaller countries are just pawns on a giant chessboard, and peacekeepers are as effective as a screen door on a submarine 🙄. If the EU’s best move is sending 209 unarmed civilians to stand around awkwardly, maybe they should just hand out participation trophies instead 🏆. Meanwhile, the real players keep rearranging the pieces and calling it negotiation – impressive how diplomacy looks when backed by threats and empty promises. Maybe next time, someone should just bring popcorn and enjoy the show 🍿.
Reading this makes me wonder if peacekeepers are just the world’s most expensive audience members who get kicked out before the real show starts. It’s like everyone’s waiting for someone else to make a move, but no one wants to mess with Russia’s backyard party. Meanwhile, the poor observers get stuck with “civilian” badges and maybe some binoculars that don’t zoom enough. If only ceasefires were as common as bad reality TV plot twists, the world might be a bit less complicated.
Ah, the classic geopolitical dance where everyone talks about peace but no one wants to say the word ceasefire out loud 🙃. It’s like a game of risk, but with real people and way higher stakes. The whole situation reminds me that when major powers play, the little guys get stuck cleaning up the mess—or just getting kicked off the board entirely. And peacekeepers with just a few hundred unarmed civilians? That sounds more like a polite suggestion than actual peace enforcement 😂. Meanwhile, Russia’s role is that awkward uncle who didn’t get invited but might still crash the party if things get too rough 🍿. Guess in this high-stakes chess game, the pawns pay the highest price, and the promises of the EU are just fancy scribbles on paper. History might not repeat itself, but it sure likes to rhyme in very inconvenient ways! 🌍🎭
This article really puts a spotlight on how fragile peace efforts can be when power dynamics are so uneven 😕. It’s striking to see how the situation in Armenia and Azerbaijan shows the limits of international missions like the EU’s, especially when they are non-armed and so few in number 🕊️. The comparison to Ukraine’s conflict adds an important perspective on how external support changes the equation, but also how quickly things can shift if that support fades away 💭. It makes me think about how complicated and tense these border disputes are, and how peacekeeping isn’t just about sending people there, but about real power and will to enforce agreements.
Isn’t it ironic how the West talks a big game about peace and support until the moment it really matters? Peacekeepers with no real power, abandoned allies, and a major player like Russia lurking in the background ready to shift the balance—this isn’t a blueprint for peace, it’s a recipe for frozen conflicts and forgotten people. When will the global community start taking responsibility instead of playing chess with countries’ lives? 🤔
It’s striking how history repeats itself when powerful neighbors play chess with smaller countries, using peacekeepers as pawns while real power shifts unchecked. If Ukraine’s situation turns even a fraction as precarious as Armenia’s, the West better rethink its strategies fast because relying on mere civilian missions or symbolic gestures won’t hold back aggressive advances. The stakes are way higher than just diplomatic phrases like ceasefire or conflict cessation 🤔